Mayo: JT Poston (+2000) — Looking at JT Poston’s stats are terrifying, especially on approach, but there are certain types of courses where he’s consistently played well over the years. Primarily the two most correlated courses to Sawgrass: Harbour Town and Sedgefield Country Club. In two starts at the Heritage, Poston’s posted two top 10s, and while his history at the Wyndham is spotty, it is the site of his only career win. And five of the past Wyndham champions have also won at Sawgrass. Plus, if he can’t drive or hit irons this week, Poston can always bail himself out with a hot putter. Let’s hope it doesn’t come to that. Top 10 lock -- Rory McIlroy: Too easy. The narratives this week are going to power a sentimental push for Rory to win, snapping his major drought at a course that featured one of his most dominant wins, but the most likely outcome is finishing on the first page of the leaderboard. It's an easy pick because you know there's multiple ways it could happen, either being in contention to win on Sunday afternoon or a backdoor top-10 finish after going low on a course he loves in the morning wave. Cantlay#8217;s returning to play after withdrawing from the Workday Championship due to illness. He#8217;s fourth in the Golfweek rankings to lead a group including Morikawa (26), Thomas (11), Hovland (5) and Webb Simpson (7). Some interesting names follow below, with Xander Schauffele (20-1) and Justin Thomas (20-1) being offered at the lowest odds we’ve seen from them in recent memory. Recent winner Collin Morikawa (22-1) would be an attractive bet, having just won the WGC at Concession in Bradenton, Fla., and best online offshore sportsbooks Patrick Cantlay (22-1) has also been playing some great golf.